Trade with SMART MONEY in your behallf!

Most of you probably never have ever heard about CFTC Commitments of Traders. However it's is one important report released every end of week disclaiming the position of every trader on markets COMMERCIALS / SWAP DEALERS, NON COMERCIALS / PRODUCERS  , ASSET MANAGERS / MANAGED MONEY AND INVESTORS/ OTHER REPORTABLE.

Let's start with a short description about each one of these PLAYERS :

- COMMERCIALS / SWAP DEALERS - These are the BIG BOYS... the deep pocket, Banks and large corporations big Hedge funds... honestly they have the best real picture of the market of course it's not showed or teach for public THEY ARE THE REAL SMART MONEY!

- NON COMMERCIAL / PRODUCERS - These players are basically all Hedge funds out there and producers of commodities... they have a short term view of the market but not the long term also they use high leverage to increase their positions so they are the smart money short term... but they are limited.

- ASSET MANAGERS / MANAGED MONEY - These are the smart mind of market not the big player but the big connection players not always they are right usually they have networking with big boys and use this "knowledge" and influence to trade to MILLIONAIRES CLIENTS. YES THESE GUYS TRADE FOR RICH PEOPLE WHO DOESN'T CARE ABOUT THE MARKET ONLY WANT PROFIT in return they charge small fees that can made 1 million bucks a year! :D

- SMALL INVESTORS/ OTHER REPORTABLE - Finally here ARE US... the suckers hauuhauhau The small investor who comes everyday into market in order to make a small buck to even pay our small bills or even pay for a small travel to maybe the center of city to buy a hot dog hauuahuha!

Now let's take a look at Report -

In this case I took the Brazilian real as the asset to be analized you can look at top that there are THE NAME OF ASSET/ COMMODITIES, THE PLACE IT'S TRADED - THE DATE. nothing special here even a child can understand it ehehe

Now the second and most important part of report the Position of players ( this sample only show non commercial and commercials) So you can look that here you have the picture of what the big and small boys are doing in the market.... as simple as that when there're more long positions they are buying more and if there are more shorting they are selling.

What to do now? As you are an small investor with FEW RESOURCE you must try to always follow the COMMERCIALS / SWAP DEALERS. WHY? Because they have the deep pocket that YOU DON'T also they carry positions looking at fundamentals and have information that you wont probably never get access.

Obs: It's doesnt mean If they are long you go long NOOOOOOO. this report only show you what THEY DID a week ago however they cant close all positions by once otherwise they would tank the market but you will be able to see how they are changing  their positions week by week and then you will know if you are or not at right side of market.

This report is simple and short... all the other reports can be found here :
- http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm

They are public free but It's not good that all people know ABOUT IT :D hehehe

So by now you have a classe about trading maybe one of the most important heheh....go ahead take a vast majority of reports and try your sklill to see what the SMART MONEY IS DOING AT MOMENT rather than stay in front of SHIT TV! :D

See you guys

Soybean might be initianting a correction trend!

Commodities are a bit hard to be trade but if you can take a trend you can make a lot of money with it simple because when it trends it trends a lot... now we can see that Soybeans is with all vectors in favor of a begin long trend...

See you guys!

The Real Dollar Background!

As you might already know THE DOLLAR is worldwide currency but Have you asked why? Basically because it's backed by OIL and the vast majority of commodities. What do I mean? If you want to buy RICE, GOLD, ORANGE, WHEAT, CORN and all the other commodities having mainly THE OIL as head car YOU NEED DOLLAR not any other currency has this Power.

Why USA has this power? SIMPLY BECAUSE OF USA MILITARY POWER! ALL THE POWER! Most of time Yankee invaded the Middle East or any other country the main target in most cases wasn't terrorism BUT OIL! What KEEPS US Economy is OIL (THE BLACK GOLD) and don't play with it.... Otherwise You can be HARDLY BOMBED but US ARMY! :D

From now I simply explanation about the us army.... US ARMY IS THE MOST WELL EQUIPPED IN THE ENTIRE WORLD and the most powerful too. A lot of economic budget is directed to army and strategical intelligence in order to retain control over the world, basically they are the POLICE MEN OF THE WORLD believe you or not. Even China, Russia, Iran, Pakistan, India.... couldn't deal with US Army for so Long because they don't have the dollar as their background currency so If they would try the Us can basically use not strategic weapons but also strategic economic points and allies. 
I'm not saying THE USA IS unbeatable but you have to try hard to CHALLENGE THEM! :D (that's why I think the next empire wont be from use of FORCE but INTELLIGENCE).

That's enough.... watch this video and learn about HOW THE WORLD WORKS not how the media says it to you!

Traders, Hedge funds and Returns

Hello guys, Now I’m coming to describe a bit about the hedge funds world… so desire by lot of people out of financial world.  As I never mentioned and honestly don’t like… I used to work at Citigroup and could knew how the financial world works not totally cause I’m still learning day by day from some traders and experts out there.

Lets start with traders I can imagine that vast majority of you have already be heard about these names, GEORGE SOROS, WARREN BUFFET*, JESSE LIVERMORE , PAUL TUDOR, JIM ROGERS, MARC FABER and so on. “THEY ARE THE MEDIA TRADERS” what do I mean by Media traders? They are the guys who is always on TV, magazines, seminar, universities. However If I say to you that there are even great traders than them? Delivering results much more greater and consistently along the years. You could shout WTF I never heard about them ok here comes a list of few traders out of the media with amazing results over years and years:

 - ED SEIKOTA, MIKE STATHIS, ALESSIO RASTANI, LARRY HITE, MARTY SCHARTWAZ, BRUCE KOVNER, TIM SYKES, LUIS STUHLBERGER…. And the list carry on heheh

( I have to mention a deep admiration for Mike Stathis I have learned more from them in one year then in 4 years at university however Its my personal view all the other traders are fanstastic  and I also got trading knowledge from them.)

What makes me say about them is simple the greatest traders and more efficient ones are OUT OF MEDIA… why? Because they have an exclusive niche of customers and deliver results astonishing HIGHS…. Just and average of 100% a year and sometimes MUCH MORE… you can barely dream about this numbers or not? :D

Here comes the trick. learn to trade can give you returns unbelievable great too. A simple strategy can give you 100% a year over capital and the only thing you have to know is learn one strategy , be patient , disciplined and don’t over trade. With years of experience you might become a great trader and investor but it won’t happen in 2 or even 5 years… maybe in 10 years you can be a great trader because of your knowledge from markets but you don’t need 10 years of experience to make 100% a year. The reality is everyone can make it but only few achieve it most cause of themselves.

Hedge funds over time makes not better than 20% anual (THE BEST ONES), the vast majority loss year by year from benchmarks and Bonds. ( By the way I’m Brazilian, the bonds there pays 12% a year so is much more easier to see hedge funds returns here SUCKS). In the book the Hedge funds mirage the author mention about this FANTASY about funds they don’t make money THEY MAKE COMMISIONS however year by year people get stuck in their hands. Most of it is because of lack of economic knowledge and trading strategies that can be learned by anyone and applied as simple as it sounds.

In conclusion as far as you get dedication to learn how to trade you will never more be an easy pray for funds because you will be able to manage your own money better than anyone else and or you can find a LOW PROFILE TRADER who generate awesome results over years but you will be charged quite a bit for it and end like this WHO’S BETTER THAN ANYONE TO MANAGE YOUR MONEY IF NOT YOURSELF! :D

USD/JPY arriving at Kill Zone

Today markets remained flat and without any excitement ... basically boring... however usd jpy carry on pushing higher showing extremely force from stocks. But  the zone of impact is coming I don't know what's gonna happen from there but keep it on track.

 

See you guys!

GBP needs a correction GBP CAD has the candle!

Gbp cad has produced a nice rejection candle.. but as I saw today it has opened with a gap... so I would invalidate this trade but if u want to take a risk could wait for a retrace and then play in line with correction.. but it's very risk not worth cause gap.

cheers

Obs: As last week the gbp chf was stopped out I thought was a clear take stop loss from institutional.. from now Im expecting the GBP TO CORRECT.

Regret Only GBP/CHF!

Best PA developed today was GBP CHF.

GBP/CHF particularly I think it has the best Pin bar from all but up to you retrace 50% target 3/1 reward.

Regards

Bovespa Despenca! Presidenciável falece em tragédia!

Hoje pela manhã após a confirmação de que Eduardo Campos era um dos tripulantes na areonave que caiu em Santo - SP - Brasil.... a bolsa de valores de São Paulo despencou  causando extrema volatilidade dado o fato que  Eduardo era um dos candidatos a presidência do Brasil.

Com isso o mercado acionario que já estava estranho ganha uma enorme tom de incerteza e volatilidade. Mesmo eu achando que a maioria dos políticos brasileiros são corruptos, nao desejo morte a ninguém muito pelo contrário fico muito triste pela morte de qualquer ser humano. Condolências a Família!
Porém é nesse momentos que percebo como a vida causa incertezas  e assim também é o mercado de ações que representa a pscicologia humana.... NADA É CONSTANTE! Qualquer momento tudo pode mudar.
Fico aqui com a frase:
  
"... é impossível tentar antecipar e prever o futuro, já que aquilo que conhecemos é muito menor em relação ao que não conhecemos

uma pessoa deve lidar com eventos inesperados em um mundo imprevisível e que elas tenham a consciência e aceitem que esses eventos, uma hora ou outra, acontecerão..."

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

 

 

Descanse em Paz Eduardo e que DEUS ABENÇÕE SUA FAMÍLIA E SEU CAMINHO DO OUTRO LADO! GOD BLESS YOU

GBP/CAD reaching at EXTREMES!

Gbp/Cad has been sold strongly due to poor UK data... however it's probably not last for longer.....however from now we have to wait for a clear signal.... to take a long position or look for another market to trade! But the pair is trading in clear range!

See you guys!

NZD USD Small Rejection but Risk Worth

The nzd usd has formed a small pin bar from previous support... I can say it's a bit risky but given the overall market and controlling the risk management It can be very WORTH if it plays out.

I expect a push to near term resistance at  0.853. entry at 50% retracement.....Risk Reward of 3/4 to1
Let's see!

See you guys

Banco Espirito Santo & Hedge Funds Short Strategy!

Well I couldn't even say about this strategy but I will. It's so simple trade that I can barely say it's quite hard that few people may notice it... let´s show you it.

As you all probably know the Banco Espirito Santo the largest Bank in Portugal has collapsed bringing lots of investors huge headaches and lots of "MONETARY PAIN". While Some Hedge Funds Made a BIG BUCK on that short opportunity. :D 

Look at chart :

This strategy merely shows you a great short opportunity If you want bet against any market.... Let me explain it to you . Notice that the Moving average of 21 periods ( Line a bit brow) is passing over 2 bars... showing down pressure from sellers... and the trick is here the previous white bar wasn't broken in any side by red bar.. THAT'S THE INSIDE BAR SHORT STRATEGY used by lots of Hedge funds world wide to GO SHORT. They simple place an order to go short if the market break down... and what happen BOOMMM.....!

I have data from you about the bucks This hedge funds have made:

Marshall Wace LLP (London) - Shorted EXACTLY AT 0.99 cents - PROFIT -  36 Million dollars

TT International (London) - Shorted AT 0.93 cents - PROFIT - 20 million dollars

Altair Investments (Bermudas) - Shorted AT 84 cents - PROFIT - 15 millions dollars.

But Here come 3 points.

- Firstly you might say FUCK WHAT HELL MONEY.... think carefully.... These Hedge funds HAVE BILLIONS UNDER MANAGEMENT... so Even though you can look at that $$$ and say WOW... for them it barely gave 1% return over their assets. BUT ATTRACT MORE POTENTIAL CUSTOMERS hehe

- Second... and the worst one for me.... MOST OF HEDGE FUNDS have "solid network connection" so you can't know more than THEM in advanced. but THEY KNOW! hehehe

 - Thirdly -  Hedge funds DON'T STAY LOOKING AT CHARTS WHOLE DAY.... they try to find out where the big money can be made. and place THE BET! look in the chats ... the bet was placed almost 2 months BEFORE the news COME OUT! When everyone was trying to short... IT WAS TOO LATE.

However you could use this simple strategy to make some profit... If it was correctly applied you could have made 6:1 risk reward! :D not that bad for an small trader without INFORMATION IN ADVANCED AND PRECIOUS TIME TO STAY HOURS IN FRONT OF COMPUTER....

If you want to trade like Hedge funds... LOOK AT OPPORTUNITIES...NOT AT EVERY PIP OR MOVING STOCK PRICE! You might not have the information in advanced but you can use the charts to TRACK THE BIG BOYS ; )

Link for HEADLINES... TAKE A READ ON ENTIRE HEADLINE... "MONTHS BEFORE" :D

http://online.wsj.com/articles/hedge-funds-betting-against-banco-espirito-santo-in-line-for-big-gains-1407312543


See you

Petrobras DECISÃO

Na última semana a Petr4 ou Petrobras fez uma pequena falha de alta... formando um candle de rejeicao da maxima da semana anterior.... porém como a tendência é de alta e tambem existe uma força compradora forte... ficamos com trade indefinido......Próxima semana será crucial para decidir a alta ou queda de pretro!....

Boa noite

Nzd Jpy creates a HUGE PIN BAR FROM SUPPORT

Quite long time I'm out from this blog but due to a friend request Im slowly trying to come back actively.


So the Nzd /jpy rejected strongly the support... what makes us to think this market is going to return to the mean what can give us 3x1 reward if it plays out and also could push much more higher what could give us 8x1. Personally its quite a lot but can happen....... See u all guys!