US stocks in definetely in BEAR MARKET!

Hello mates,

I'm here to warn all of you that the leading US stock market has entered in bear market.... if you are in stocks I'd suggest to be aware of any longs from here....take a look:

Best wishes... and good trades..... Bears in control

Cheers

Boi Gordo or Cattle... breaks up trend.

Hello,

I have spotted if you are trend trader a nice way market to catch a potential down trend formed.... Cattle or in Brazil we say Boi Gordo.

This trend usually takes years to develop what gives nice positions to be build... so if you like trends this is one good for you.... the next target is 114.

I hope meat will get cheaper in brazil cz nowadays its very expensive.. however cheaper prices will be more profitable to exporters that will reduce intern supply causing highers prices anyway.. thats the shitty in Living in emerging and agricultural economies... you always get the REST of all cz everything is exported.

Anyway If you are farmer or cattle trader be ready to cheap prices ahead.

Cheers

Cheers

AUD/NZD breaks trend up....

Hello

Mates today I have a aud/nzd chart that has broken the trend line up.... forming a nice signal to get short from here....

Good trades!

Petrobras hits target and entry in down trend! (Update)

Hello,

Good news.... at least if you traded Petrobras hehehe I didnt take that signal however it was a pretty clear rejection of max... so Petrobras hits the target I suggested to be take profit ( 29/06) and now we are definitely in a down trend.... wait for retracements and get shorts.. trend down, market is down...... this rejection signal from today at least for me ITS FALSE!

Cheers!

China in route of crash....?

Hello,

Today I wont spend too much time speaking about markets.... only one chart speaks about itself ..

Its the Chinese stock market.... and to complement your idea and studies.....

No more words...

The problem is .... If china crashes by now.... turmoil will come over markets.... its by far not a good moment to happen a crash... MAINLY IN CHINA!

GBP/USD & USD/CAD & Petrobras (UPDATE)

Well guys,

I think you own me at least a grateful for my last calls on GBP/USD - USD/CAD AND PETROBRAS....lets take a look...

On 18/06 I suggested to short gbp usd that has reached an interesting point to get short positions... if you got that now you would be at least with 3x1 in your pocket heheh and also from now I suggest to close your position and open another short given the fact it got another bearish candle formed:

 I suggest also on  22/06 to get long on USD/CAD.... but I will confess MATES I MOVED MY FU***** STOP LOSS TO CLOSE TO MOVING AVERAGE AND GOT OUT.... you cant imagine how mad Im about that but if you werent stupid like me :D you have 3x1 on this trade too..... nice isnt?

And finally I said to get short on Petrobras on 29/06 or to be honest my last post... so it has been playing out quite nicely... however I mentioned I wasn't used to play stocks.. so it was just a technical formation clearly made showing weakness :

In conclusion if you played these couple of trades now you would be with at least 6X2 in your pocket... not bad given the fact I said all the info for free ahaha anyway let's gonna takes others trades along the road... and I'm opened to suggestions, critics or advices... learn is never enough!

Wish you the best

Petrobras Sell Signal !

Hello,

Today I have noticed a nice pin bar formed on Petr4 or Petrobras our main stock inside our index... not sure if any of you do play brazilian stocks but Its a nice formation rejecting the resistance and also the down trend line...

Hope it helps..... good trades!

Bovespa Update... following trend down

Hey,

As I discussed few days ago about short signal designed on Brazilian stock market index...it has apparently get start by today ...targeting 52500 and then break it down... don't worry new signals will be formed if you couldn't get into it.

See you Guys

Brazilian Economic Analysis

Hey guys,

As promised now I'm bringing up an economic point of view from Brazil, economically speaking.

Lets take a first look at GDP what measure all our Production through a period of one year.

As far as you can see our gdp has been decreasing since 2010 when it reached a peak and then reverse totally in a down trend... I dont like to say it but it was caused by print and interest rate low in the rich countries what caused a massive flow of capital to emerging countries such as Brazil. In my economic point this year we are gonna have and gdp between -1% and -2%... and no expectation of any improvements next year... honestly I'm seeing reasonable recover only in 2018

Industrial Production is another chart that we must see:

It shows how out industry is behaving actually and also compared to GDP.. it's suffering harder with outflow of capital recently...one important fact is that the automobile factories in Brazil are closing hard and laying off lot of workers what take up unemployment rate and decreasing income. So We have a strong support on -10%... so a bounce can be done from there possible.

So if factories are firing its cause there's no sales out there.... lets see:

Retail sales is another part of economy that has suffered a lot with outflow of dollars... this sector is actually showing weakness and start firing workers giving the fact.... demand weak, sales weaks, profits down and unemployment up.

Unemployment chart:

 Unemployment has rising since then...starting this year to pick up all cause weak gdp and outflow of capital returning mainly to the usa thats on course to raise interest rate... I see one strong resistance at 7% but I will say one thing out real unemployment rate is in average 4 times this number...why? Brazil is huge and we cant measure perfectly this data. And technical point it broke a long term trend down.

Brazilian Real currency

With all that issues about our economy .... we are suffering a lot with devaluation of our currency mainly for raise of interest rate in THE USA but also for our bad shape economy actually... so it brings us another chart Interest rate....

To try to contain this massive exit of dollars the only way government has to do is increasing interest what cause more problems cause most of things in our economy is bought over credit so we can't deal with high interest what leads to low sales and less profit and so on. However theres not other way to finance public debt if not increasing it. Give that I see interest rate reaching 15% this year and if thing doesnt improve at time..... 20% wont be a problem in middle term.

Inflation is another issue...

As we are exporter raw ... we are importers manufactured products.... in simple term... we export at 1 and import at 3. We are really dependent of dollars so dollar high also inflation cause it leads to massive increase in prices of products that mainly is not made in Brazil. Also government produces inflation spending more without having it... and who pays? POPULATION

In conclusion, with all these data is pretty clear Brazil inst the correct place actually to invest in risk instruments but safe ones like Brazilian bonds. As economy gets down.. also profits of companies and dividends...and the worst is about to come.... THE USA Didn't rise interest rate... but its coming and then you will see that mess will cause on emerging  economies and particularly in this case BRAZIL.

Bovespa Sell & USD/CAD long Signals

Hey guys,

I'm here back to show one opportunity on Bovespa that gave a nice short signal at moment... take a look... Id suggest to go short from this signal... targeting 50% retracement and then short.... directions of lows.

Also usd/cad... has given a long trade opportunity :

Which good trades.....

Gold potential Buy zone

Hey guys,

Given the fact of greece turmoil that is forming in the markets right now....we could have an excelent point zone to take long on Gold.... I'd suggest to buy at yellow zone which represents 50%

See u

Bovespa Index Analysis

Well,

Weekend is here... time to take a look at main Brazilian index... so I came across with nice lines to show me the main trend and its down apart from recently congestion that is happening right now on it. Sooner or later time will be ready to short it... Economically we are in deep problem and Profits will be drove down... so be ready to take 55k short at first sign of weakness. I will make an Brazilian economically analysis later on...

Wish Nice trades... ; )

Gbp Usd Pin Bar Rejection

Hello guys,

As I have told yesterday... GBP USD has rejected high prices... by the way its over extend in price so we formed one candle very famous in technical analysis called PIN BAR...all indicators are saying we are about to reverse from here. but never go all in and the market does what it wants to do.

Wish Best trades....

GBP/USD close to at risk zone

Hey,

Take a look at GBP/USD.... it's at close of a kill zone... be ready to take short positions from there..... time is here.... let's see mates.

Good trade.... wish u the best

USD JPY Inside bar

Hey,

Today I'm up to party but let's take a look at market before... hehe Usd jpy has made an inside bar quite good in direction of the trend... the only problem for me its cause this pair usually makes big moves to up or down side.... so If u wanna to get long wait for the break of highs..

Have good weekend!

Gold Inside Bar!

Hello,

Today I have noticed an inside bar designed on GOLD chart....trend is down... inside bar looks good, but stop loss is a bit longer if we get it on break of  lows.... risk reward I think 2x1 maybe 3 ... but the trade is here. Take break of lows and the trend is your friend!

See you guys!

Eur/Usd - Potential Sell

Hey guys,

Today I'm bringing a potential sell zone in euro, however I have to mention it's a bit risky due lot of factors even though the chance is here.... as quote says.. NO PAIN..... NO GAIN!

Good trades mates!

Bovespa Update and Euro Sell zone!

Hello guys,

Today I have to say about the target on Ibovespa index brazilian stock market.... given risk reward of  4 to 1...

So I basically I'm out waiting for any retracement to short it again!

EURO/USD

Euro is at dange zone due to greece default quite soon. NO agreement has been made.. any confirmation of it is a short time to EURO.

Hope it helps

CHEERS GUYS!

Oil Takes down AGAIN trend line!

Hey dudes,

I know this market has been taugh.. but I have to post when it breaks down... So oil has again done it.
If you wanna go short I'd suggest to entry now in way to get the beginning of a trend.

Tracing fibonnaci levels I see a good way down until  50 per barrel... lets see

Wish you good trades!

Oil might be made False Move.

Hello,

Today we had made a quite interesting formation on OIL.... this market has return to it trends up... So in any case is a good case of study so see how it closed some days ago and how it has returned today to up movement... I'd suggest to any shorts here to be closed and wait to a final decision of this market that I have to assume is pretty hard to play.

Cheers mates!

Brazilian Stock Market BEAR!

Hey mates,

Its quite clear for this time that brazilian stock market is in a down trend channel well developed .... as far as I can see brazilian economy is still weak and doesnt show any signal of improvement.. so because of that Ibovespa our INDEX has made an classic channel with levels to be watched pretty close.

As commodities are pretty weak our economy follow also this path down.... we are an economy based on export material raw...so commodities down....ALSO BRAZILIAN DOWN!

Cheers mates

WTI OIL Break it down!

Hey mates,

WTI has formed a candle pretty bearish at moment......as far as I can see... or profits has been taken or down trend is getting shape

Hope it helps... now down movement in direction of 54 per barrel is there!

See yeah

Brazilian Stock Market breaks trend up!

Hey Mates,

Long time isnt.... anyway... since march brazilian stock market has rallied quite hard climbing a nice trend up... but apparently this trend has been fade today... ... Bears might be at corner hehehe

From now.... low prices are expected .... good trades!

GBP/USD SELL SIGNAL?

HEY MATES,

today i have noticed something really good on gbp usd... a pin bar giving  rejecting of highs prices... lets see mates...

see u

Silver Pin Bar sell pressure

Hey mates,

Silver has made an nice pull back creating a nice pin bar of sell pressure.... I can't see reasons t go long here... the worries with Greece has been diminished so.... if everything keep in calm water... silver is down

Cheers mates..... wish good energies to all

see yah

GBP/USD Inside bar...

Hey guys its the trade i mentioned to you..... gbp usd inside bar..... down trend.. plus inside bar... im waitin to go short at break of lows.... see u

hope it works... risk reward is 2x1 or 3x1 max.. lets see

Brazilian Real State INDEX (UPDATE)

Hello guys,

As far as im concern hauhauhh british way of saying something posh hahah.. well I came here to to uptade you guys about the real state index that I have posted recently on this blog....

As I said.. it was almost perfect to play ... I did and now Im 3x1 risk reward.. not that bad.. i could hold a bit more in order to get more profits but I'm fine with that....

OO by the way Corn is also playing nicely however cattle didn´t  give me pull back to go short.....

Later on I will post a new trade thats forming right now...

see u guys

Brazilian Real State INDEX

I was browsing on Brazilian indexes when I discover that amazing chart that make your eyes bright hahaha I can be wrong why not... but I'm definitely going short on BRAZILIAN REAL STATE INDEX called also as IMOB here in Brazil ... take a look at this charts folks:

Trend line has been rejected plus nice price action signal at resistance..... and down trend.... can I be wrong? yes... WHY? THIS PATTERN IS ALMOST PERFECT FOR SHORT.... but as I mentioned ... Im going short.....everything is on line with shorts.... lets see...

See u guys.....

Live Cattle Weakness

Hello mate,

Sorry for last post ... it was totally in portuguese cz we have one of the most attractive bonds markets out there.... so at this time Im bringing another commoditie thats showing weakness recently... and its forming a nice pattern of short.... TAKE A LOOK AT CATTLE:

Look at circle... its a nice point to entry short in the market.... cattle has broken its trend line so.... its showing rejection of high prices.... the bad point in commodities is that it doesnt play as fast as other instruments but..... if u r active with commoties.... go ahead on that target 136...

ps.: dont matter cattle most of cattle instruments are making the same pattern...

Cheers dude

Estrategia Renda Fixa Tesouro direto

Estratégia da Carteira do Tesouro Direto

O post de estréia do blog (É possível lucrar 30%, 40% a.a. no Tesouro Direto) é também o mais lido com mais de 50.000 acessos. No texto, descrevo o movimento dos preços dos títulos públicos pré-fixados (LTN ou NTN-F) e indexados pelo IPCA (NTN-B), de acordo com a mudança de comportamento das variáveis que influenciam na precificação dos papéis.
A partir do entendimento de que os preços dos títulos variam de forma inversamente proporcional à variação das taxas de juros, proponho a estratégia abaixo:
Situação 1 Quando inflação e taxa SELIC estabilizam após uma tendência de alta e há perspectivas futuras de queda para ambos os indicadores:
Venda: LFT
Compra: LTN, NTN-F, NTN-B ou NTN-B Principal
Situação 2 Quando inflação e taxa SELIC estabilizam após uma tendência de queda e há perspectivas futuras de alta para ambos os indicadores:
Venda: LTN, NTN-F, NTN-B ou NTN-B Principal
Compra: LFT
Através dos gráficos fica evidenciada a relação inversa entre taxa de juros e preços dos títulos pré-fixados e indexados pela inflação. Assim, o trabalho de identificar o melhor momento para movimentar sua carteira do Tesouro Direto é facilitado através da leitura dos gráficos atualizados dos principais títulos públicos, conforme figura abaixo.

A estratégia proposta é então complementada:
Situação 1 Quando o preço do título fica acima de sua média móvel e a taxa de juros fica abaixo de sua média móvel:
Venda: LFT
Compra: LTN, NTN-F, NTN-B ou NTN-B Principal
Situação 2 Quando o preço do título fica abaixo de sua média móvel e a taxa de juros fica acima de sua média móvel:
Venda: LTN, NTN-F, NTN-B ou NTN-B Principal
Compra: LFT
Os melhores pontos de compra e venda dos títulos do Tesouro Direto agora podem ser facilmente identificados.

Fonte: http://investidorderisco.blogspot.com.br/2014/09/painel-do-tesouro-direto.html

Interresante... gostei!

Corn Bears Control

Hello guys,

Today I'm bring up to you the corn chart thats showing us bear has regained control again over this market.... downward is waiting for ... Im targeting lows 320 from actuals 381

Cheers mate!

See u soon

2014 has gone

Update IBOVESPA, GOLD AND MICEX

HEY guys... I came over to uptade you about the last charts I have posted..... lets take a look at bovespa

As could imagine it was only a take profit movement from institutional .... at 51 area there were lot of sellers who were waiting only to short it again... i see it will retest the support from now.

Gold... uptade

Gold is in a boring range .... its under 2 major resistence ... and doesnt break up or down... however as its in a bear market.... i think bear are going t take control from here too many up tails failed.... towards to support

MICEX..

Russia index rejected up movement... sell pressure is turn it on..... towards to support.....


Cheers guys