Hey mates.... here we are again.....
Ibovespa first :
Ibovespa has made an ineradicable pull back but as I mentioned before that could be only profit takers getting out of market.... now we are at risk area.... what i mean.... from now I can't see more upside even though it might happen my take here is short.... I'd wait for any signal.... false break, pin bar... or something that made me go short.... of even go short at break of last candle.....the gap was filled... now the trend might carry it on.
Gold... now.....
Gold in other hand is at decision area.. if it breaks up from trend lines it will go higher to test resistance but if return everything back that I think its the biggest chance... markets wont resist and start to sell off hard
MCX RUSSIA
Russia is forming a flag formation on it charts but as the main trend is down.... when it breaks be ready for a hard movement in up or down side
Cheers guys.....hope u had nice Christmas time.......
bye see u soon
Saturday, 27 December 2014
Sunday, 21 December 2014
Bovespa Brazilian Stock Market
Hey GUYSSSSSSSS.... i remember one thing about this sentence ahahha well anyway....
Ibovespa brazilian stock market has pulled back to up move.. but theres no force at moment to justify that movement up
I'd suggest you watch close the 51000 cz that is the climax point of the market.... its the region will decide another up side in direction of 58 I doubt! or a return to the down trend..... from now please be shorted at this market... Brazilian economy is struggling so Brazilian companies with reduced profits and then reduction of dividends and so on....
See folks... wish the best for u
Ibovespa brazilian stock market has pulled back to up move.. but theres no force at moment to justify that movement up
I'd suggest you watch close the 51000 cz that is the climax point of the market.... its the region will decide another up side in direction of 58 I doubt! or a return to the down trend..... from now please be shorted at this market... Brazilian economy is struggling so Brazilian companies with reduced profits and then reduction of dividends and so on....
See folks... wish the best for u
Wednesday, 17 December 2014
EUR/USD weak USD/YEN strong
Hey Mates,
Euro/Usd has tried to move higher but without success ... Usd still rule and the euro has returned to its downtrend.... towards down..... unfortunatly due to FOMC from today it was quite hard to take the short move but in a down trend always try to be short the odds are in your favor.
USD JPY
Usd jpy has pushed strong up today showing still force in this up trend..... I think from now we can see an strong movement in stock market that has been seeling hard since some last week... from now bulls are in control at least today .
See you guys
Euro/Usd has tried to move higher but without success ... Usd still rule and the euro has returned to its downtrend.... towards down..... unfortunatly due to FOMC from today it was quite hard to take the short move but in a down trend always try to be short the odds are in your favor.
USD JPY
Usd jpy has pushed strong up today showing still force in this up trend..... I think from now we can see an strong movement in stock market that has been seeling hard since some last week... from now bulls are in control at least today .
See you guys
Tuesday, 16 December 2014
EUR/GBP.... The Queen is resilent isnt?
EUR/GBP
This Chart is very interesting....
Eur has tried to move high against Gbp but the trend line has contained it.... making a huge pin bar in direction of trend... also the main trend is down....
Eurozone is facing far more problems than UK.... Europe is about to deal with great deflation and problems due to countries with lot of economic power having to help others with lack of infrastructure.
UK in the other hand is not so exposed with eurozone cz of currency apart... but they are affected if you want or not.... but UK is UK... for me its still an empire!
Cheers Guys
This Chart is very interesting....
Eur has tried to move high against Gbp but the trend line has contained it.... making a huge pin bar in direction of trend... also the main trend is down....
Eurozone is facing far more problems than UK.... Europe is about to deal with great deflation and problems due to countries with lot of economic power having to help others with lack of infrastructure.
UK in the other hand is not so exposed with eurozone cz of currency apart... but they are affected if you want or not.... but UK is UK... for me its still an empire!
Cheers Guys
Monday, 15 December 2014
Gold is FALSE BREAK!
Hello Amigos.....
Gold has made an agressive sell off today due to Fed´s meeting showing again force of dollar against commodities ... gold is in bear market so you are more propensity to Short market.... the false break has return to under main trend line.... the gap couldnt be filled at all, given us a picture of rejection of up move.... so from now we return to down trend... Fed's meeting will give us a picture of market but GOLD is Bear any upside is Short!
See you lateR folks
Gold has made an agressive sell off today due to Fed´s meeting showing again force of dollar against commodities ... gold is in bear market so you are more propensity to Short market.... the false break has return to under main trend line.... the gap couldnt be filled at all, given us a picture of rejection of up move.... so from now we return to down trend... Fed's meeting will give us a picture of market but GOLD is Bear any upside is Short!
See you lateR folks
Sunday, 14 December 2014
IBOVESPA AND USD/JPY
Hello mates,
Ibovespa has accomplished its main target at short time... chart....
Target from now was hit so the best to do is wait for what will gonna happen.. there´s not action to be taken and shorters will start to take profits so its a bit trick to trade now shorting at market or buying... it can either go straight to 45 or get flat or try to move to trend line.... be careful... However the bias is still down!
USD JPY
Usd Jpy is a good one showing inside bar in direction of trend so its a great opportunity to buy at break of mother candle.. and targeting the next resistance or even hold for more upside movement due to Fed's meeting that will cause a lot of volatility. All the market is waiting for rise interest rate in the us... but oil price crashed im not sure about it...
See u guys
Ibovespa has accomplished its main target at short time... chart....
Target from now was hit so the best to do is wait for what will gonna happen.. there´s not action to be taken and shorters will start to take profits so its a bit trick to trade now shorting at market or buying... it can either go straight to 45 or get flat or try to move to trend line.... be careful... However the bias is still down!
USD JPY
Usd Jpy is a good one showing inside bar in direction of trend so its a great opportunity to buy at break of mother candle.. and targeting the next resistance or even hold for more upside movement due to Fed's meeting that will cause a lot of volatility. All the market is waiting for rise interest rate in the us... but oil price crashed im not sure about it...
See u guys
Friday, 12 December 2014
Oil declaine and it's consequences ...
Actually lot of you have noticed how the oil price has decline through mid of year until now... but are you aware of the consequences of it?
The main Losers are the countries heavily dependent of oil such as VENEZUELA, RUSSIA, IRAN NIGERIA and so on but I could mention these ones as more affected by oil prices... Take a look at another data from theses countries about the break even point to each of them balance their budgets in order to maintain economy running well:
As you can see most of them need a Oil price far higher than its nowadays and it has hard implications for them the worst situation are in the ones with low reserves of dollars... why? Their currencies have been decreasing in value hardly since OPEC decided to not cut oil production and then they need so sell dollars in order to protect their currency values against speculators however when these countries can't do it their entry in a dark land called DEFAULT and that is the point speculators PLAY hard causing great disruption and riots across borders putting at risk even the actual governments in place.
The winners on this oil decline are the hedge funds that BET against this decline, Consumers and Companies that rely hardly in oil such as Air Companies.
Lets take a look at OIL CHART:
Since October when the trend line was broken hedge funds started to Short Oil and a lot of them are making huge bucks nowadays because of it.... I could say it was lucky but I know they have strong "KNOWINGS" about the markets so lot of managers are gonna to have a great end of year with huge paychecks to them..... its not fair I know but its how to world works... while some are suffering huge losses and colossal problems others are Smiling face to face.
The next good support for oil right now is 50 dollars per Barrel and until there some will be crying and others smiling the mess is already made.
See u guys
The main Losers are the countries heavily dependent of oil such as VENEZUELA, RUSSIA, IRAN NIGERIA and so on but I could mention these ones as more affected by oil prices... Take a look at another data from theses countries about the break even point to each of them balance their budgets in order to maintain economy running well:
As you can see most of them need a Oil price far higher than its nowadays and it has hard implications for them the worst situation are in the ones with low reserves of dollars... why? Their currencies have been decreasing in value hardly since OPEC decided to not cut oil production and then they need so sell dollars in order to protect their currency values against speculators however when these countries can't do it their entry in a dark land called DEFAULT and that is the point speculators PLAY hard causing great disruption and riots across borders putting at risk even the actual governments in place.
The winners on this oil decline are the hedge funds that BET against this decline, Consumers and Companies that rely hardly in oil such as Air Companies.
Lets take a look at OIL CHART:
Since October when the trend line was broken hedge funds started to Short Oil and a lot of them are making huge bucks nowadays because of it.... I could say it was lucky but I know they have strong "KNOWINGS" about the markets so lot of managers are gonna to have a great end of year with huge paychecks to them..... its not fair I know but its how to world works... while some are suffering huge losses and colossal problems others are Smiling face to face.
The next good support for oil right now is 50 dollars per Barrel and until there some will be crying and others smiling the mess is already made.
See u guys
Tuesday, 9 December 2014
AUSSIE X KIWI Range
Hey Mates,
As far as it gets now we could find a nice consolidation followed by 2 important trend lines on this pair. take a look at chart bellow:
The first trend line is an main trend of upside that came from March 2014 it has been respected all times was touched but as I mentioned is a consolidation so the market has to make a decision from here or it will go up or down
The second is a trend line of middle term from bears on this market... you can see it was broken yesterday a bit and today the lower prices were rejected again however its still a consolidation.
Fundamentally speaking The New Zealand economy has been suffering as same as Australia both are commodities exporters so they are at same boat even though as advanced economies they suffer from decline in commodities prices around the globe.
New Zealand apart from it has increased its interest rate since last year pushing the Kiwi Dollar up and advancing its strategy for when the usa increase rates. But They are facing a problem cause actually Inflation dropped and they will be forced to retain interest rates on hold otherwise could create another problem in long term.
Australia in the other hand is hardly affected by commodities more than NZ so both are in a bad shape but as long as Au is a bigger economy with more historical strength I believe it will surpass and recover better than NZ in long term that's why I would consider go long Aud against Nzd but it's risky and tomz could give us a better picture of the real direction from this market but I'm bullish Aud Indeed.
See u Soon
As far as it gets now we could find a nice consolidation followed by 2 important trend lines on this pair. take a look at chart bellow:
The first trend line is an main trend of upside that came from March 2014 it has been respected all times was touched but as I mentioned is a consolidation so the market has to make a decision from here or it will go up or down
The second is a trend line of middle term from bears on this market... you can see it was broken yesterday a bit and today the lower prices were rejected again however its still a consolidation.
Fundamentally speaking The New Zealand economy has been suffering as same as Australia both are commodities exporters so they are at same boat even though as advanced economies they suffer from decline in commodities prices around the globe.
New Zealand apart from it has increased its interest rate since last year pushing the Kiwi Dollar up and advancing its strategy for when the usa increase rates. But They are facing a problem cause actually Inflation dropped and they will be forced to retain interest rates on hold otherwise could create another problem in long term.
Australia in the other hand is hardly affected by commodities more than NZ so both are in a bad shape but as long as Au is a bigger economy with more historical strength I believe it will surpass and recover better than NZ in long term that's why I would consider go long Aud against Nzd but it's risky and tomz could give us a better picture of the real direction from this market but I'm bullish Aud Indeed.
See u Soon
Saturday, 6 December 2014
IBOVESPA & PETROBRAS
Hello guys,
it has been a long time since the last post.. but im back to the business ... and today I have came to bring you up a analysis about Brazilian Stock Market (IBOVESPA) and the main stock Petrobras... so let's take a look at firstly IBOVESPA index:
As far as you can see we are in a good down trend without any doubt... the market made a top after the elections decision and since then has dropped huge erasing all the gains made through year of 2014. Now we are heading to a major support around 49 000 and once it break down I can't see any more upside and the towards to 45000.
I can't see any more upside for the stocks due to 2 factors. First the brazilian economy is struggling to make a minor GDP of 0,1% HEY GUYS 0,1% for Brazil is ridiculous low because we have continental size and the projections of government to GDP in 2015 is 0,8% .. so I guess it will be much more lower HONESTLY I CAN SEE IT AT 0%.
Second fact... the inflation in brazil has been consistent even thought the CBB has worked to contain it as much as it could so they wont have choice the interest rate will have to be increase in the next year impacting stock market hardly and reducing the miserable GDP projection.
NOW LETS TAKE A LOOK AT PETROBRAS
Petrobras is a case of hard discussion WHy? This stock has been one of the most volatile iny 2014 worldwide and all of it because of election... however the fundamentals are HORRIBLE the significant DEBT to be paid the biggest in the world... So I can't see any upside from here...another relevant fact is that the support of 2008 has been tested and from now when it passed it down .. I expect a hard sell off orders be triggered and next target is 8 reals per stock and look IM OPTIMIST if things get really tough it could be heading to 4 even 2 reals per stock.... DISGUSTING but with lot of corruption inside the company plus COMMODITIES GOING LOWER globally I can't see any reason to buy it... honestly IT COULD EVEN CRASH AND DECLARE BANKRUPTCY. WHO KNOWS? :/
Cheers mate... hope it helps and Brazil too!
it has been a long time since the last post.. but im back to the business ... and today I have came to bring you up a analysis about Brazilian Stock Market (IBOVESPA) and the main stock Petrobras... so let's take a look at firstly IBOVESPA index:
As far as you can see we are in a good down trend without any doubt... the market made a top after the elections decision and since then has dropped huge erasing all the gains made through year of 2014. Now we are heading to a major support around 49 000 and once it break down I can't see any more upside and the towards to 45000.
I can't see any more upside for the stocks due to 2 factors. First the brazilian economy is struggling to make a minor GDP of 0,1% HEY GUYS 0,1% for Brazil is ridiculous low because we have continental size and the projections of government to GDP in 2015 is 0,8% .. so I guess it will be much more lower HONESTLY I CAN SEE IT AT 0%.
Second fact... the inflation in brazil has been consistent even thought the CBB has worked to contain it as much as it could so they wont have choice the interest rate will have to be increase in the next year impacting stock market hardly and reducing the miserable GDP projection.
NOW LETS TAKE A LOOK AT PETROBRAS
Petrobras is a case of hard discussion WHy? This stock has been one of the most volatile iny 2014 worldwide and all of it because of election... however the fundamentals are HORRIBLE the significant DEBT to be paid the biggest in the world... So I can't see any upside from here...another relevant fact is that the support of 2008 has been tested and from now when it passed it down .. I expect a hard sell off orders be triggered and next target is 8 reals per stock and look IM OPTIMIST if things get really tough it could be heading to 4 even 2 reals per stock.... DISGUSTING but with lot of corruption inside the company plus COMMODITIES GOING LOWER globally I can't see any reason to buy it... honestly IT COULD EVEN CRASH AND DECLARE BANKRUPTCY. WHO KNOWS? :/
Cheers mate... hope it helps and Brazil too!
Friday, 22 August 2014
Trade with SMART MONEY in your behallf!
Most of you probably never have ever heard about CFTC Commitments of Traders. However it's is one important report released every end of week disclaiming the position of every trader on markets COMMERCIALS / SWAP DEALERS, NON COMERCIALS / PRODUCERS , ASSET MANAGERS / MANAGED MONEY AND INVESTORS/ OTHER REPORTABLE.
Let's start with a short description about each one of these PLAYERS :
- COMMERCIALS / SWAP DEALERS - These are the BIG BOYS... the deep pocket, Banks and large corporations big Hedge funds... honestly they have the best real picture of the market of course it's not showed or teach for public THEY ARE THE REAL SMART MONEY!
- NON COMMERCIAL / PRODUCERS - These players are basically all Hedge funds out there and producers of commodities... they have a short term view of the market but not the long term also they use high leverage to increase their positions so they are the smart money short term... but they are limited.
- ASSET MANAGERS / MANAGED MONEY - These are the smart mind of market not the big player but the big connection players not always they are right usually they have networking with big boys and use this "knowledge" and influence to trade to MILLIONAIRES CLIENTS. YES THESE GUYS TRADE FOR RICH PEOPLE WHO DOESN'T CARE ABOUT THE MARKET ONLY WANT PROFIT in return they charge small fees that can made 1 million bucks a year! :D
- SMALL INVESTORS/ OTHER REPORTABLE - Finally here ARE US... the suckers hauuhauhau The small investor who comes everyday into market in order to make a small buck to even pay our small bills or even pay for a small travel to maybe the center of city to buy a hot dog hauuahuha!
Now let's take a look at Report -
In this case I took the Brazilian real as the asset to be analized you can look at top that there are THE NAME OF ASSET/ COMMODITIES, THE PLACE IT'S TRADED - THE DATE. nothing special here even a child can understand it ehehe
Now the second and most important part of report the Position of players ( this sample only show non commercial and commercials) So you can look that here you have the picture of what the big and small boys are doing in the market.... as simple as that when there're more long positions they are buying more and if there are more shorting they are selling.
What to do now? As you are an small investor with FEW RESOURCE you must try to always follow the COMMERCIALS / SWAP DEALERS. WHY? Because they have the deep pocket that YOU DON'T also they carry positions looking at fundamentals and have information that you wont probably never get access.
Obs: It's doesnt mean If they are long you go long NOOOOOOO. this report only show you what THEY DID a week ago however they cant close all positions by once otherwise they would tank the market but you will be able to see how they are changing their positions week by week and then you will know if you are or not at right side of market.
This report is simple and short... all the other reports can be found here :
- http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm
They are public free but It's not good that all people know ABOUT IT :D hehehe
So by now you have a classe about trading maybe one of the most important heheh....go ahead take a vast majority of reports and try your sklill to see what the SMART MONEY IS DOING AT MOMENT rather than stay in front of SHIT TV! :D
See you guys
Let's start with a short description about each one of these PLAYERS :
- COMMERCIALS / SWAP DEALERS - These are the BIG BOYS... the deep pocket, Banks and large corporations big Hedge funds... honestly they have the best real picture of the market of course it's not showed or teach for public THEY ARE THE REAL SMART MONEY!
- NON COMMERCIAL / PRODUCERS - These players are basically all Hedge funds out there and producers of commodities... they have a short term view of the market but not the long term also they use high leverage to increase their positions so they are the smart money short term... but they are limited.
- ASSET MANAGERS / MANAGED MONEY - These are the smart mind of market not the big player but the big connection players not always they are right usually they have networking with big boys and use this "knowledge" and influence to trade to MILLIONAIRES CLIENTS. YES THESE GUYS TRADE FOR RICH PEOPLE WHO DOESN'T CARE ABOUT THE MARKET ONLY WANT PROFIT in return they charge small fees that can made 1 million bucks a year! :D
- SMALL INVESTORS/ OTHER REPORTABLE - Finally here ARE US... the suckers hauuhauhau The small investor who comes everyday into market in order to make a small buck to even pay our small bills or even pay for a small travel to maybe the center of city to buy a hot dog hauuahuha!
Now let's take a look at Report -
In this case I took the Brazilian real as the asset to be analized you can look at top that there are THE NAME OF ASSET/ COMMODITIES, THE PLACE IT'S TRADED - THE DATE. nothing special here even a child can understand it ehehe
Now the second and most important part of report the Position of players ( this sample only show non commercial and commercials) So you can look that here you have the picture of what the big and small boys are doing in the market.... as simple as that when there're more long positions they are buying more and if there are more shorting they are selling.
What to do now? As you are an small investor with FEW RESOURCE you must try to always follow the COMMERCIALS / SWAP DEALERS. WHY? Because they have the deep pocket that YOU DON'T also they carry positions looking at fundamentals and have information that you wont probably never get access.
Obs: It's doesnt mean If they are long you go long NOOOOOOO. this report only show you what THEY DID a week ago however they cant close all positions by once otherwise they would tank the market but you will be able to see how they are changing their positions week by week and then you will know if you are or not at right side of market.
This report is simple and short... all the other reports can be found here :
- http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm
They are public free but It's not good that all people know ABOUT IT :D hehehe
So by now you have a classe about trading maybe one of the most important heheh....go ahead take a vast majority of reports and try your sklill to see what the SMART MONEY IS DOING AT MOMENT rather than stay in front of SHIT TV! :D
See you guys
Thursday, 21 August 2014
Soybean might be initianting a correction trend!
Commodities are a bit hard to be trade but if you can take a trend you can make a lot of money with it simple because when it trends it trends a lot... now we can see that Soybeans is with all vectors in favor of a begin long trend...
See you guys!
See you guys!
The Real Dollar Background!
As you might already know THE DOLLAR is worldwide currency but Have you asked why? Basically because it's backed by OIL and the vast majority of commodities. What do I mean? If you want to buy RICE, GOLD, ORANGE, WHEAT, CORN and all the other commodities having mainly THE OIL as head car YOU NEED DOLLAR not any other currency has this Power.
Why USA has this power? SIMPLY BECAUSE OF USA MILITARY POWER! ALL THE POWER! Most of time Yankee invaded the Middle East or any other country the main target in most cases wasn't terrorism BUT OIL! What KEEPS US Economy is OIL (THE BLACK GOLD) and don't play with it.... Otherwise You can be HARDLY BOMBED but US ARMY! :D
From now I simply explanation about the us army.... US ARMY IS THE MOST WELL EQUIPPED IN THE ENTIRE WORLD and the most powerful too. A lot of economic budget is directed to army and strategical intelligence in order to retain control over the world, basically they are the POLICE MEN OF THE WORLD believe you or not. Even China, Russia, Iran, Pakistan, India.... couldn't deal with US Army for so Long because they don't have the dollar as their background currency so If they would try the Us can basically use not strategic weapons but also strategic economic points and allies.
I'm not saying THE USA IS unbeatable but you have to try hard to CHALLENGE THEM! :D (that's why I think the next empire wont be from use of FORCE but INTELLIGENCE).
That's enough.... watch this video and learn about HOW THE WORLD WORKS not how the media says it to you!
Tuesday, 19 August 2014
Traders, Hedge funds and Returns
Hello guys, Now I’m
coming to describe a bit about the hedge funds world… so desire by lot of people
out of financial world. As I never
mentioned and honestly don’t like… I used to work at Citigroup and could knew
how the financial world works not totally cause I’m still learning day by day
from some traders and experts out there.
Lets start with
traders I can imagine that vast majority of you have already be heard about
these names, GEORGE SOROS, WARREN BUFFET*, JESSE LIVERMORE , PAUL TUDOR, JIM
ROGERS, MARC FABER and so on. “THEY ARE THE MEDIA TRADERS” what do I mean by
Media traders? They are the guys who is always on TV, magazines, seminar,
universities. However If I say to you that there are even great traders than
them? Delivering results much more greater and consistently along the years.
You could shout WTF I never heard about them ok here comes a list of few
traders out of the media with amazing results over years and years:
- ED SEIKOTA, MIKE STATHIS, ALESSIO RASTANI,
LARRY HITE, MARTY SCHARTWAZ, BRUCE KOVNER, TIM SYKES, LUIS STUHLBERGER…. And the
list carry on heheh
( I have to mention a
deep admiration for Mike Stathis I have learned more from them in one year then
in 4 years at university however Its my personal view all the other traders are
fanstastic and I also got trading knowledge
from them.)
What makes me say about them is simple the greatest traders and more efficient ones are OUT OF MEDIA… why? Because they have an exclusive niche of customers and deliver results astonishing HIGHS…. Just and average of 100% a year and sometimes MUCH MORE… you can barely dream about this numbers or not? :D
Here comes the trick.
learn to trade can give you returns unbelievable great too. A simple
strategy can give you 100% a year over capital and the only thing you have to
know is learn one strategy , be patient , disciplined and don’t over trade.
With years of experience you might become a great trader and investor but it
won’t happen in 2 or even 5 years… maybe in 10 years you can be a great trader
because of your knowledge from markets but you don’t need 10 years of
experience to make 100% a year. The reality is everyone can make it but only
few achieve it most cause of themselves.
Hedge funds over time
makes not better than 20% anual (THE BEST ONES), the vast majority loss year by
year from benchmarks and Bonds. ( By the way I’m Brazilian, the bonds there
pays 12% a year so is much more
easier to see hedge funds returns here SUCKS). In the book the Hedge funds
mirage the author mention about this FANTASY about funds they don’t make money
THEY MAKE COMMISIONS however year by year people get stuck in their hands. Most
of it is because of lack of economic knowledge and trading strategies that can
be learned by anyone and applied as simple as it sounds.
In conclusion as far
as you get dedication to learn how to trade you will never more be an easy pray
for funds because you will be able to manage your own money better than anyone
else and or you can find a LOW PROFILE TRADER who generate awesome results over
years but you will be charged quite a bit for it and end like this WHO’S BETTER
THAN ANYONE TO MANAGE YOUR MONEY IF NOT YOURSELF! :D
USD/JPY arriving at Kill Zone
Today markets remained flat and without any excitement ... basically boring... however usd jpy carry on pushing higher showing extremely force from stocks. But the zone of impact is coming I don't know what's gonna happen from there but keep it on track.
See you guys!
Sunday, 17 August 2014
GBP needs a correction GBP CAD has the candle!
Gbp cad has produced a nice rejection candle.. but as I saw today it has opened with a gap... so I would invalidate this trade but if u want to take a risk could wait for a retrace and then play in line with correction.. but it's very risk not worth cause gap.
cheers
Obs: As last week the gbp chf was stopped out I thought was a clear take stop loss from institutional.. from now Im expecting the GBP TO CORRECT.
cheers
Obs: As last week the gbp chf was stopped out I thought was a clear take stop loss from institutional.. from now Im expecting the GBP TO CORRECT.
Thursday, 14 August 2014
Regret Only GBP/CHF!
Best PA developed today was GBP CHF.
GBP/CHF particularly I think it has the best Pin bar from all but up to you retrace 50% target 3/1 reward.
Regards
Regards
Wednesday, 13 August 2014
Bovespa Despenca! Presidenciável falece em tragédia!
Hoje pela manhã após a confirmação de que Eduardo Campos era um dos tripulantes na areonave que caiu em Santo - SP - Brasil.... a bolsa de valores de São Paulo despencou causando extrema volatilidade dado o fato que Eduardo era um dos candidatos a presidência do Brasil.
Com isso o mercado acionario que já estava estranho ganha uma enorme tom de incerteza e volatilidade. Mesmo eu achando que a maioria dos políticos brasileiros são corruptos, nao desejo morte a ninguém muito pelo contrário fico muito triste pela morte de qualquer ser humano. Condolências a Família!
Porém é nesse momentos que percebo como a vida causa incertezas e assim também é o mercado de ações que representa a pscicologia humana.... NADA É CONSTANTE! Qualquer momento tudo pode mudar.
Fico aqui com a frase:
"... é impossível tentar antecipar e prever o futuro, já que aquilo que conhecemos é muito menor em relação ao que não conhecemos
Com isso o mercado acionario que já estava estranho ganha uma enorme tom de incerteza e volatilidade. Mesmo eu achando que a maioria dos políticos brasileiros são corruptos, nao desejo morte a ninguém muito pelo contrário fico muito triste pela morte de qualquer ser humano. Condolências a Família!
Porém é nesse momentos que percebo como a vida causa incertezas e assim também é o mercado de ações que representa a pscicologia humana.... NADA É CONSTANTE! Qualquer momento tudo pode mudar.
Fico aqui com a frase:
"... é impossível tentar antecipar e prever o futuro, já que aquilo que conhecemos é muito menor em relação ao que não conhecemos
GBP/CAD reaching at EXTREMES!
Gbp/Cad has been sold strongly due to poor UK data... however it's probably not last for longer.....however from now we have to wait for a clear signal.... to take a long position or look for another market to trade! But the pair is trading in clear range!
See you guys!
See you guys!
Tuesday, 12 August 2014
NZD USD Small Rejection but Risk Worth
The nzd usd has formed a small pin bar from previous support... I can say it's a bit risky but given the overall market and controlling the risk management It can be very WORTH if it plays out.
I expect a push to near term resistance at 0.853. entry at 50% retracement.....Risk Reward of 3/4 to1
Let's see!
See you guys
I expect a push to near term resistance at 0.853. entry at 50% retracement.....Risk Reward of 3/4 to1
Let's see!
See you guys
Monday, 11 August 2014
Banco Espirito Santo & Hedge Funds Short Strategy!
Well I couldn't even say about this strategy but I will. It's so simple trade that I can barely say it's quite hard that few people may notice it... let´s show you it.
As you all probably know the Banco Espirito Santo the largest Bank in Portugal has collapsed bringing lots of investors huge headaches and lots of "MONETARY PAIN". While Some Hedge Funds Made a BIG BUCK on that short opportunity. :D
Look at chart :
This strategy merely shows you a great short opportunity If you want bet against any market.... Let me explain it to you . Notice that the Moving average of 21 periods ( Line a bit brow) is passing over 2 bars... showing down pressure from sellers... and the trick is here the previous white bar wasn't broken in any side by red bar.. THAT'S THE INSIDE BAR SHORT STRATEGY used by lots of Hedge funds world wide to GO SHORT. They simple place an order to go short if the market break down... and what happen BOOMMM.....!
I have data from you about the bucks This hedge funds have made:
Marshall Wace LLP (London) - Shorted EXACTLY AT 0.99 cents - PROFIT - 36 Million dollars
TT International (London) - Shorted AT 0.93 cents - PROFIT - 20 million dollars
Altair Investments (Bermudas) - Shorted AT 84 cents - PROFIT - 15 millions dollars.
But Here come 3 points.
- Firstly you might say FUCK WHAT HELL MONEY.... think carefully.... These Hedge funds HAVE BILLIONS UNDER MANAGEMENT... so Even though you can look at that $$$ and say WOW... for them it barely gave 1% return over their assets. BUT ATTRACT MORE POTENTIAL CUSTOMERS hehe
- Second... and the worst one for me.... MOST OF HEDGE FUNDS have "solid network connection" so you can't know more than THEM in advanced. but THEY KNOW! hehehe
- Thirdly - Hedge funds DON'T STAY LOOKING AT CHARTS WHOLE DAY.... they try to find out where the big money can be made. and place THE BET! look in the chats ... the bet was placed almost 2 months BEFORE the news COME OUT! When everyone was trying to short... IT WAS TOO LATE.
However you could use this simple strategy to make some profit... If it was correctly applied you could have made 6:1 risk reward! :D not that bad for an small trader without INFORMATION IN ADVANCED AND PRECIOUS TIME TO STAY HOURS IN FRONT OF COMPUTER....
If you want to trade like Hedge funds... LOOK AT OPPORTUNITIES...NOT AT EVERY PIP OR MOVING STOCK PRICE! You might not have the information in advanced but you can use the charts to TRACK THE BIG BOYS ; )
Link for HEADLINES... TAKE A READ ON ENTIRE HEADLINE... "MONTHS BEFORE" :D
http://online.wsj.com/articles/hedge-funds-betting-against-banco-espirito-santo-in-line-for-big-gains-1407312543
See you
As you all probably know the Banco Espirito Santo the largest Bank in Portugal has collapsed bringing lots of investors huge headaches and lots of "MONETARY PAIN". While Some Hedge Funds Made a BIG BUCK on that short opportunity. :D
Look at chart :
This strategy merely shows you a great short opportunity If you want bet against any market.... Let me explain it to you . Notice that the Moving average of 21 periods ( Line a bit brow) is passing over 2 bars... showing down pressure from sellers... and the trick is here the previous white bar wasn't broken in any side by red bar.. THAT'S THE INSIDE BAR SHORT STRATEGY used by lots of Hedge funds world wide to GO SHORT. They simple place an order to go short if the market break down... and what happen BOOMMM.....!
I have data from you about the bucks This hedge funds have made:
Marshall Wace LLP (London) - Shorted EXACTLY AT 0.99 cents - PROFIT - 36 Million dollars
TT International (London) - Shorted AT 0.93 cents - PROFIT - 20 million dollars
Altair Investments (Bermudas) - Shorted AT 84 cents - PROFIT - 15 millions dollars.
But Here come 3 points.
- Firstly you might say FUCK WHAT HELL MONEY.... think carefully.... These Hedge funds HAVE BILLIONS UNDER MANAGEMENT... so Even though you can look at that $$$ and say WOW... for them it barely gave 1% return over their assets. BUT ATTRACT MORE POTENTIAL CUSTOMERS hehe
- Second... and the worst one for me.... MOST OF HEDGE FUNDS have "solid network connection" so you can't know more than THEM in advanced. but THEY KNOW! hehehe
- Thirdly - Hedge funds DON'T STAY LOOKING AT CHARTS WHOLE DAY.... they try to find out where the big money can be made. and place THE BET! look in the chats ... the bet was placed almost 2 months BEFORE the news COME OUT! When everyone was trying to short... IT WAS TOO LATE.
However you could use this simple strategy to make some profit... If it was correctly applied you could have made 6:1 risk reward! :D not that bad for an small trader without INFORMATION IN ADVANCED AND PRECIOUS TIME TO STAY HOURS IN FRONT OF COMPUTER....
If you want to trade like Hedge funds... LOOK AT OPPORTUNITIES...NOT AT EVERY PIP OR MOVING STOCK PRICE! You might not have the information in advanced but you can use the charts to TRACK THE BIG BOYS ; )
Link for HEADLINES... TAKE A READ ON ENTIRE HEADLINE... "MONTHS BEFORE" :D
http://online.wsj.com/articles/hedge-funds-betting-against-banco-espirito-santo-in-line-for-big-gains-1407312543
See you
Sunday, 10 August 2014
Petrobras DECISÃO
Na última semana a Petr4 ou Petrobras fez uma pequena falha de alta... formando um candle de rejeicao da maxima da semana anterior.... porém como a tendência é de alta e tambem existe uma força compradora forte... ficamos com trade indefinido......Próxima semana será crucial para decidir a alta ou queda de pretro!....
Boa noite
Boa noite
Saturday, 9 August 2014
Nzd Jpy creates a HUGE PIN BAR FROM SUPPORT
Quite long time I'm out from this blog but due to a friend request Im slowly trying to come back actively.
So the Nzd /jpy rejected strongly the support... what makes us to think this market is going to return to the mean what can give us 3x1 reward if it plays out and also could push much more higher what could give us 8x1. Personally its quite a lot but can happen....... See u all guys!
So the Nzd /jpy rejected strongly the support... what makes us to think this market is going to return to the mean what can give us 3x1 reward if it plays out and also could push much more higher what could give us 8x1. Personally its quite a lot but can happen....... See u all guys!
Tuesday, 15 April 2014
CHINA GDP IS SLOWING DOWN!
China is forecasting a GDP OF 7.4% FROM A PREVIOUS 7,7%.... it is showing a clear bad economic condition from my fellow chineses.... so give it as a fact you might hope that from brazilians too
Our main exporter partner is Republic of china.... therefore if they are not buying more we are not exporting more ... let's take a glass of caipirinha and relax hehehe
The stocks in BRAZIL are under pressure and a slow down from china is not welcome right now!
Our main exporter partner is Republic of china.... therefore if they are not buying more we are not exporting more ... let's take a glass of caipirinha and relax hehehe
The stocks in BRAZIL are under pressure and a slow down from china is not welcome right now!
THE QUEEN SAYS NO TO THE COLONY! GBP/USD
As you can see guys the GBP/USD REJECTE CLEARLY THE LOWS... FORMING A NICE CANDLE OF REVERSION... IT WILL PROBABLY RE-TEST THE HIGHS AND THEN TAKE A REAL DECISION FROM THERE!
ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PROPOSE hehe see u mates
Monday, 14 April 2014
Over and Over and Over AGAIN!
"What has happened before will happen again. What has been done before will be done again. There is nothing new in the whole world" Ecclesiastes 1:9
“There is nothing new in Wall Street. There can’t be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again.” Jesse Livermore
"The players change, the stocks change, but the patterns don’t change because human nature doesn’t change..." Tim Sykes
Friday, 11 April 2014
Are you going "DOWN JONES" ? :D
Hello... as far as I CAN SEE the down jones is heading right now to test the support around 16 000 ... if keep eyes on it! We can have a signal to go long or short at this points...even short or long... after it we only have a second support at 15250 what could cause a small crash but nothing compared with 2008... however what id like to say is stare the first and the second support.... THEY ARE MAIN LEVELS IN THE MARKET!
The nasdaq, s&p actually work with similar correlation with down some my analysis basically is useful also for these markets...
Only for educational propose...
Canadians say We can't hold anymore :(
The cad/usd made a nice rejection candle saying ... Please not anymore hahah well we get a signal here.. classic one on weekly charts...... let's wait for...
EDUCATIONAL PROPOSE! Just analysis!
ooo yeapppp party nowwww!
EDUCATIONAL PROPOSE! Just analysis!
ooo yeapppp party nowwww!
Dollar REAL.... the surge of America!
Agora em portugues para começar.. hehe Bom o dollar fez um fechamento rejeitando completamente as minimas do dia... ou como vc pode ver a correlaçao com o ibovespa é quase perfeita...em outras palavras quando um sobe o outro desce... logo a probabilidade de alta do dollar frente ao real n proxima semana é de alta. Dollar/Real e ibovespa tem uma correlacao negativa q um hedge é simples de fazer caso queiram... venda ou comprem os dois ao mesmo tempo.... well but it's not the subject!
So guysssssss let's say the brazilian real is under pressure by the americans. haha next week we are probably heading to a push highs in a correction from recently knock downs! hehehe
it's for educational propose only! Isso é para educar sobre analise.... SE VC QUER VENDER OU COMPRAR RISCO TODO SEU! SÓ POSTO ANALISE! ;)
see see u
So guysssssss let's say the brazilian real is under pressure by the americans. haha next week we are probably heading to a push highs in a correction from recently knock downs! hehehe
it's for educational propose only! Isso é para educar sobre analise.... SE VC QUER VENDER OU COMPRAR RISCO TODO SEU! SÓ POSTO ANALISE! ;)
see see u
Petrobras Weekly Review / Analise Petro4
Well let's make a review about that stock.... the week is ending so.... Weekend ahead \o/ partyyyyyy... anyways.. although I don't think Petro's investors could enjoy at all the weekend.. the close formation is bad, a rejection from resistence was confirmed on weekly chart... so next week don't be suprised for a sell off!
Now in portuguese hehe Vamos lá... Brasileiros do meu barasil baranil..... bom fazendo uma analise da petro vejo que a queda parece correta mas como ja sabe trade é probabilidade ou seja, a probabilidade de na proxima semana vermos uma venda forte na petro n é impossivel... bom meu trade esta ali.. quem quiser ta lá para ver!
Postarei uma analise do dollar real.... see yeah
it's for educational propose only! Isso é para educar sobre analise.... SE VC QUER VENDER OU COMPRAR RISCO TODO SEU! SÓ POSTO ANALISE! ;)
Have a good weekends mate!
Who's PETROBRAS?
YOU MIGHT BE THINKING WHAT F** IS IT? So let's give you a short description about Petrobras
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. or Petrobras, is a semi-public Brazilian multinational energy corporation headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. It is the largest company in the Southern Hemisphere by market capitalization and the largest in Latin America measured by 2011 revenues.
Petrobras was founded in 1953. While the company ceased to be Brazil's legal monopolist in the oil industry in 1997, it remains a significant oil producer, with output of more than 2 million barrels (320,000 m3) of oil equivalent per day. The company owns oil refineries, oil tankers, and is a major distributor of oil products. Petrobras is a world leader in development of advanced technology from deep-water and ultra-deep water oil production. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petrobras).
Basically we are the boss in south america with oil! YOU might say BIG SH**! haha Yeap I understand you, but that's why I want to cover only Petro4 cz it gives you a nice idea of how's going on the Brazil economically well honestly The brazilian stock market or BOVESPA plus you will have an idea of HOW WONDERFUL IS THE SOUTH AMERICA WAY OF LIVING! That I can guarantee you IT'S NOT ONLY CARNAVAL, CAIPIRINHAS AND BUMS! However If you learn how to live in Brazil you are automatically able to live anywhere in the world! hahahahah and I'm not joking hahah!
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. or Petrobras, is a semi-public Brazilian multinational energy corporation headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. It is the largest company in the Southern Hemisphere by market capitalization and the largest in Latin America measured by 2011 revenues.
Petrobras was founded in 1953. While the company ceased to be Brazil's legal monopolist in the oil industry in 1997, it remains a significant oil producer, with output of more than 2 million barrels (320,000 m3) of oil equivalent per day. The company owns oil refineries, oil tankers, and is a major distributor of oil products. Petrobras is a world leader in development of advanced technology from deep-water and ultra-deep water oil production. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petrobras).
Basically we are the boss in south america with oil! YOU might say BIG SH**! haha Yeap I understand you, but that's why I want to cover only Petro4 cz it gives you a nice idea of how's going on the Brazil economically well honestly The brazilian stock market or BOVESPA plus you will have an idea of HOW WONDERFUL IS THE SOUTH AMERICA WAY OF LIVING! That I can guarantee you IT'S NOT ONLY CARNAVAL, CAIPIRINHAS AND BUMS! However If you learn how to live in Brazil you are automatically able to live anywhere in the world! hahahahah and I'm not joking hahah!
Thursday, 10 April 2014
Petrobras (Petr4) The major brazilian stock
The major stock in Brazil might be heading to a correction from recent push highs. Petrobras also know as PETRO is by far the most traded stock in Brazil and so the best view of stock market!
Unfortunately the only good way to trade in Brazil using price action is on weekly charts (ON MY VIEW) due to lack of liquitity but as you can see we can get nice signals for position traders!
Soon I'll be covering major forex pairs hopefully on sunday or even saturday!
I'll not be posting charts everyday just when I see a nice signal or something I'd like to share with you!
Related to Brazil I'm going to cover Petr4 and Brl/Usd sometimes I might make analysis in other stocks but I think it will occour only if someone ask me for!
All my analysis will be only for educational propose only!
By the way I'm Brazilian but live in Uk London ... if you have any question you can write me down in portuguese, spanish or GUESS WHAT ENGLISH ahhaha....
Cheers by today is enough.. I think you are already bored of me! :P
See yeah
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